Quote by CHAUSSON
Motorhomes were a lot cheaper in Germany, but I think they are cheaper in the south now since the recession, just you have less of a choice and many of the German vans have higher milage.
 
I don't disagree with you but it is interesting to examine in more detail the impact of the recession on the motorcaravan fleet (I use the term motorcaravan as that is the official term used by the motortax office in the ROI).
From 2002 to 2007 there was an average growth in the number of motorcaravans taxed (i.e. on the road) of ~20% per annum.
2008 it was 11.5%
2009 it was 9.5% 
Now clearly thats a significant slowdown but it was still strong growth considering by 2009 a) the country was now in deep recession b) the base line figures for 2009 was more than 3 times the 2002 figure and c) the total number of vehicles on the roads in 2009 was down ~12%. So despite a slowdown in the growth rate, in 2009 motorcaravans was definitely bucking the trend. 
2010 and 2011 saw a serious slow down of 4.6% and 1.6% respectively. Certainly, not good years to be in the trade but the overall fleet was still expanding. But was the 2011 fall from 4.6% to 1.6% a result of the recession or as a result of the fact that as of 1/1/11 you could no longer import a secondhand motorcaravan for €50 VRT, all would now be subject to 13.5% on the OMSP?
Then 2012 tells a really interesting story in that we see the first fall in the overall fleet with a reduction of -13.3% or 1446 motorcaravans. Now that is a serious swing from +1.6% to -13.3% in one year. We are well into the recession at this stage and the impact of the VRT changes should only have had a one off effect in 2011. As in, the VRT changes would not support continued growth but they should have had no impact on the fleet already here. We might have expected a further slowdown, neutral or slightly negative growth but not -13.5%. 
At first glance its tempting to say that the recession has finally seriously hit the motorcaravan sector and that 2012 would have been a great year to buy a second hand camper. But that ignores another really crucial factor. 2012 was the first year that motorcaravans in the ROI were subject to a CRW (certificate of road worthiness). I think a lot of people got a nasty surprise during their trip to the VTN centre in 2012, or didn't go because they knew what was in store, and decided to take their motorcaravan off the road while they tangled with the offload/repair dilemma. 
My conclusion, the introduction of the CRW test had a far greater impact on the motorcaravan fleet in the ROI than the recession. If you bought a 'great value' secondhand motorcaravan in 2012 I hope you got a genuine one that some poor unfortunate was under pressure to sell rather than a CRW nightmare. 
It will be interesting to see the 2013 figures but unfortunately they are not likely to be released until well into the Autumn. 
**My analysis only looks at the impact of on the overall fleet and is therefore limited in it ability to explain the impact of the recession or other factors on the average value of motorcaravans. It would also be interesting to look at sales volumes, prices, duration to sale etc but most of that data is unavailable. The analysis cannot show if there was an serious exodus of people trying to get out of motorcaravans, long sales lead times etc between 2007 and 2012 that would have depressed prices. But what it does show is that, even if there was such an exodus, up until 2012 there were more than enough people willing to buy (perhaps encouraged by good value prices) to maintain the overall fleet numbers. But it probably did not feel like that if you were desperately trying to offload a motorcaravan in those years.